Research and Markets has announced the addition of "WiMAX Market
Intelligence Report" to their offering.
This market report analyzes and forecasts 19 market segments likely to
adopt WiMAX. The report includes analysis of WiMAX technologies and
alliance development, as well as an evaluation of current technology,
geographical hotspots of activity, and corporate developments.

It is written primarily for companies who are in the process of
evaluating the WiMAX Market (802.16a, 802.16d-2004, and 802.16e).


WiMAX is a standardized wireless technology designed to offer
connectivity in a metropolitan area network (MAN). Prior to the
emergence of WiMAX, proprietary technologies such as LMDS and MMDS
occupied this segment, with varying degrees of success due to lack of
client device installations, high base station costs, and the general
barrier-to-market-entry encumbering all proprietary solutions in a new

The IEEE 802.16 standard (the first WiMAX incarnation) was published in
2001 and was followed by the 802.16a standard early in 2003. Both these
standards support data rates up to 75 Mbps with a maximum range of 50
km. 802.16 covers frequencies from 10 GHz to 66 GHz; the frequency
range of 802.16a's is between 2 GHz and 11 GHz and does not require
line-of-sight transmission.

WiMAX will enter the communications market eventually, in spite of
potential architectural issues that arise when integrating multiple
radio types into a small package, such as a mobile phone. Motorola's
mobile device plans include integrating WiMAX into their complete phone
portfolio. Nextel is among the lucky recipients. Motorola appears to be
halfway through the process, but in the time frame of the next 18
months the 802.16 profile is not likely to be mature enough to support
existing end products. In addition, the significant geographic areas
that have true, unimpeded, drivers for mobile WiMAX are those with
populations that coincidentally use pubic transportation on a broad
scale. The US, which represents roughly 1/3 of the world market for
cell phones, is not a predominant public transportation consumer.

Industry Description:

While promising opportunities exist in areas and countries where wiring
is exorbitant or impossible to provide, the necessary WiMAX
infrastructure is by no means cost-effective in all such areas and
communities. Finding its best opportunity, with regard to
cost-effectiveness, in outlying but semi-urban suburbia at home, or
abroad in countries where power grids are non-existent, the market for
WiMAX is limited in this sense, and, despite its promise, is a long way
from home base yet. Unlike ZigBee (IEEE 802.15.4) or Wi-Fi (IEEE
802.11x), both of which are upgrades and replacements of existing
network infrastructures, the predominant market for WiMAX (IEEE
802.16d-2004) is in new infrastructure installations. This has likely
been a barrier to an earlier success, but it seems that now WiMAX has
finally found its way into the mainstream of market acceptance.

At the same time, the struggle is not yet quite over; 'mobile
WiMAX' (IEEE 802.16e) is rapidly gaining ground, threatening to
leap-frog the recently defunct 802.20. The real eye-opening realization
is that the tremendous interest in IEEE 802.16e is threatening the
growth of WiMAX fixed applications. The IEEE 802.16e specification can
address mobile applications and stationary applications but WiMAX is
today largely limited to stationary segments. If investing
infrastructure capital in high-speed wireless for metropolitan area
network applications, why would it make sense to invest in two
technologies when it is possible to invest in only one? This last
factor is the locus of major expenditure in creating the ubiquitous
WiMAX grid. Most of the companies developing components for this market
are hedging their bets, however, and bringing to market dual-band
products that enable deployment of both mobile and fixed WiMAX

In the US there are obstacles of a different sort. If other countries
are hamstrung by regulatory hurdles, corruption, and/or lacking in
economic maturity. Given that the market structure is demand-driven,
the delay or sluggish interest is caused by the absence of a market
driver. One need only look at the example of Wi-Fi as an indicator to
be repeated again and again in whatever next big thing is coming along.
The first move that elevated the visibility of Wi-Fi into market
cognizance came with its name change from IEEE 802.11 to
WECA-compatible to Wi-Fi. The second was that Apple included Wi-Fi as
'airport' option in its 1999 laptops, but not until Intel launched
its Centrino chip in conjunction with Wi-Fi in their laptops, did Wi-Fi
catch on. It was, of course, dependent on a growing availability of
hotspots, which was, in turn, driven by Intel's $200,000 Wi-Fi
marketing campaign. But there is an ancillary caution to this: the
hot-spot explosion was anything but a financial boom, as service
providers realized that little profit was to be had from hotspot
offerings, for both Wi-Fi and Bluetooth. Given this, and the fact that
at this point in time there is little visible interest in WiMAX on the
part of the general population, it is most likely that in the US WiMAX
will play a minor market role, and mobile WiMAX (IEEE 802.16e) will
quickly come from behind, and eclipse and take the lion's share of
the WiMAX market within a very short time.

Intel is today moving to 3rd world countries with WiMAX technology. In
Nigeria, a population of roughly 130 million, fixed WiMAX is beginning
to take off with six licensees introducing services, with 13 more in
the works all in the 3.5 GHz band. The topology of Nigeria is largely
flat, hence WIMAX will fare well in the environment and, all things
being equal, could become a significant factor in the economic
revitalization and modernization of the country. Standardization and
interoperability are key to a successful integration of WiMAX into
products as evidenced by the existence of the hitherto customary
collaboration between the IEEE and technology industry alliances, in
this case the WIMAX Forum.

Keeping in mind that WiMAX is capable of proprietary applications on
top of the IEEE802.16/e standard, there is not likely to be an end to
the search for the easiest, fastest, user-friendliest, always 'on'
status in the wireless high speed arena. Rather than being a disruptive
technology, WiMAX is evolutionary, which means that it is likely to
graduate rapidly from fixed to mobile, it's IEEE802.16e version.
Already WiMAX mobile is not the only contender in the high speed
wireless arena; it has a rival in WiBro, - the Korean version of mobile
WiMAX. Licensed by South Korea's KT Corp. (KTC), WiBro allows
Internet access at any traveling speed, making download links possible
even if moving at 60 mi/hr. Yet already a new wireless mobile
communication service on the horizon in Korea, the 3.5 generation
technology HSDPA (High Speed Downlink Packet Access), is capable of
being more than six times faster in data transfer. Which means that
downloading an MP3 music file is 10 seconds today, it would take two
seconds with HSDPA, and to download data from a station could
theoretically be as fast as 14 mbps, though more likely 2 to 7 mbps.
And while most advanced countries are still, often slowly, rolling out
broadband, South Korea is ready to move to the next level which is
nationwide 50-100Mbps FTTH and mobile access to a single IP-based
network capable of handling and offering every thinkable service,
especially multimedia services.

All this to emphasize that Korea is a powerhouse with regard to
Internet access. Broadband with 8-10Mbps now reaches 70-80% of the
homes and businesses in South Korea, which means there is a burgeoning
demand for better and faster data communications. More than 30 million
of the nation's 48 million population carry wireless Internet-capable
cell phones, and hence it is simply the next step for the government to
maintain the momentum and to deploy WiBro today, and most likely HSDPA

Therefore it is understandable that South Korea's Samsung Electronics
and LG Electronics have invested heavily in WiMAX development, and all
of the country's telecom firms are members of the WiMAX forum,
including now Samsung. South Korea has also reached an agreement with
the IEEE 802.16 Working Group on the specifications of WiBro. Other
members of the WiMAX Forum are mindful of the fact that South Korea is
moving into a leading position, ready to export its know-how. In the
US, Texas Instruments just announced the completion of three chip sets
for both WiMAX fixed and mobile applications; the fabless semiconductor
company, Athena, also chimed in with an RF transceiver that supports
both WiMAX and WiBRO. GigaBeam and Adaptix showcased their WiMAX and
WiBro technology at the Broadband Wireless World Forum in Las Vegas in
April. But Samsung is likely to be the link that will bridge the
technological divide between Korea and the ROW, of which the US, by all
appearances, seems to be one.

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